Polymarket: Difference between revisions

781 bytes added ,  17 December 2025
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== Trading / betting ==
== Trading / betting ==
=== Depositing ===
The default deposit method costs ~13 basis points or 0.13%. You can avoid this fee by:
The default deposit method costs ~13 basis points or 0.13%. You can avoid this fee by:


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Always test with small amounts when trying a new method first.
Always test with small amounts when trying a new method first.
=== Trading strategies ===
* have ways of knowing orthogonal to the market and bet when multiple of those point in the same direction
* nothing ever happens
* thoroughly research things, don't bet on impulse, multiple rounds of analysis are good
* place limit orders to get good prices
* oracle risk (misresolution risk)
* avoid sports, crypto, mentions, earnings, and stocks. these markets are either random or too efficient due to people poring over spreadsheets already
* read and understand the market rules in detail
* if you think a probability is approximately correct, place yes and no orders on both sides and then merge them together into USDC later
For beginners, making money is more about avoiding dumb bets and bet sizing than betting smart.


== Hedging / insuring ==
== Hedging / insuring ==